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S&P 500 rises to another record to wrap up second-quarter comeback: Live updates

The market's swift recovery this month comes as investors continue to monitor the whipsaw of global trade negotiations.

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on June 27, 2025.

NYSE

Stocks rose early Monday as increasing trade hopes among investors position Wall Street to close out a stunning month with even more record highs.

The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, building on the record highs set in the previous session. The Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.2% and had also reached fresh all-time highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 136 points, or 0.3%.

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S&P 500 since April 1

Monday's advance follows Canada rescinding its digital service tax in an effort to facilitate trade negotiations with the U.S. That's after President Donald Trump on Friday said the U.S. was "terminating ALL discussions on Trade with Canada." Initial payments on the tax were set to begin Monday and would have applied to companies such as Google, Meta and Amazon.

Investors are awaiting the announcement of any trade deals between the U.S. and its trading partners, as Trump's 90-day tariff reprieve is set to expire next week. On Monday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said there are "countries that are negotiating in good faith." However, he added that "if we can't get across the line because they are being recalcitrant," tariffs could still "spring back" to the levels announced on April 2.

Deals on that front could be finalized once Trump's "one, big, beautiful" bill passes, National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said on CNBC's "Squawk on the Street" on Monday. The package narrowly passed a key procedural vote in the Senate on Saturday night. If passed by the Senate, it faces an uncertain path in the House, where some GOP lawmakers have balked at revisions in the latest version of the bill.

While the looming tariff deadline and tax bill could help spur volatility in the remainder of 2025, equity fundamentals and improving market breadth, among other factors, could mean that the recent momentum will continue, according to Terry Sandven of U.S. Bank Wealth Management.

"The wall of worry is crumbling as stocks reach all-time highs," said the chief equity strategist, whose year-end target implies more than 2% upside in the S&P 500 from Friday's close. "Inflation is stable, interest rates are range-bound and earnings are trending higher. That's a favorable backdrop for stocks to continue to forge higher as we begin the second half."

Monday marks the last day of June, a month in which the major averages have staged a sharp recovery back to record levels. The S&P 500 is up more than 4% this month, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq has jumped more than 6%. The Dow, meanwhile, has added about 4% month to date.

Prior to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting all-time highs Friday, global trade and tariff tensions rocked the market, putting the broad market index within striking distance of a bear market in early April. It's now on pace to finish the quarter with solid gains, along with the other two leading indexes. The S&P 500 has increased more than 10% quarter to date, while the Nasdaq and Dow are more than 17% and more than 4% higher in the period.

Goldman says tariffs could bring downside risk to corporate margins

Goldman Sachs sounded alarms about tariffs' impact on corporate margins with the second-quarter earning season around the corner.

"If companies are forced to swallow the cost of tariffs, it would represent downside risk to margins. Our economists assume consumers will absorb 70% of the direct cost of tariffs," David Kostin, Goldman's head of U.S. equity strategy, said in a note to clients.

The Wall Street firm said the effective U.S. tariff rate based on announced policies has risen by roughly 10 percentage points to 13%. Goldman's economists believe the effective tariff rate will eventually be increased by an additional 4 percentage points to 17%

"Analyst revisions to margin estimates have been more negative for companies most exposed to tariffs compared with the typical stock. Early earnings results offer conflicting messages on the margin outlook," Kostin said.

— Yun Li

Bitcoin miner soars on ether buying strategy, Tom Lee appointment

Shares of BitMine Immersion Technologies skyrocketed more than 500% after the bitcoin miner announced a $250 million private placement to implement a buying strategy around ether. The company also said it appointed Fundstrat's Tom Lee as chairman of the board of directors.

Lee's appointment comes amid a groundswell of interest around stablecoins following the successful IPO of stablecoin issuer Circle at the beginning of the month and positive momentum pushing potential stablecoin legislation through Congress.

Ahead of this transaction, BitMine had a tiny market value of just $26 million with lightly traded shares that were down 45% on the year.

Read the full story here.

— Tanaya Macheel

Trade deals could be finalized after tax bill passes, Hassett says

Kevin Hassett, director of the National Economic Council, speaks to members of the media following a television interview outside the White House in Washington, DC, US, on Tuesday, May 27, 2025.

Stefani Reynolds | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Hassett said on "Squawk on the Street" that the plan is for the administration to put the finishing touches on some preliminary trade deals once the tax-and-spending bill has passed.

"I think that we've got a whole number of deals, double digit deals, that we've got frameworks just like we had for the U.K. that are just about agreed to. As soon as the tax bill is passed, I think that there's going to be a marathon session in the Oval where we'll go through them one by one with the president and we'll make the final calls," Hassett said.

The White House official also indicated that the recent negotiations with Canada over the country's digital services tax could also be key in other talks.

"My expectation is that the digital services taxes around the world will be taken off, and that will be a key part of the ongoing trade negotiations that we have," Hassett said.

— Jesse Pound

Fed stress tests could be a 'shot in the arm' for bank stocks, Bank of America says

Major bank stocks were poised to open higher on Monday after all of them passed the Federal Reserve's annual stress test.

Shares of Goldman Sachs were up 3.4% in premarket trading. Wells Fargo added 1.8%, while Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase each rose less than 1%. Bank of America's stock added 1.2%.

On the whole, banks saw a smaller decline in the common equity tier 1 capital ratio in this year's test than last year's, though this latest test scenario was less severe, the Fed said.

Bank of America analyst Ebrahim Poonawala described Goldman's year over year improvement in the test as "significant" and also said that Citigroup's results could lead to more share buybacks.

"We see results to serve as a shot in the arm for the group, among GSIBs highlight Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo as offering the best risk/reward," Poonawala said.

— Jesse Pound

Tariffs can still 'spring back' to April 2 levels for some countries, Bessent says

Bessent told Bloomberg News on Monday that reverting back to the tariffs announced on "liberation day" is still an option for some countries as the Trump administration continues trade negotiations.

"We have countries that are negotiating in good faith, but they should be aware that if we can't get across the line because they are being recalcitrant, then we could spring back to the April 2 level. I hope that won't have to happen," Bessent said.

When those tariff levels were originally announced, the stock market fell sharply before Trump paused the levies a week later. The pause is set to expire next week.

— Jesse Pound

Stocks open higher Monday

Stocks traded up on Monday morning.

The S&P 500 rose 0.4% just after the opening bell, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.5%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced 207 points, or 0.5%.

— Sean Conlon

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket

Check out the companies making headlines before the bell:

  • Moderna — Shares rose 2% after the biotech company's experimental flu vaccine showed a positive response in a late-stage trial, opening the way for the standalone shot and a combination Covid shot.
  • Hewlett Packard EnterpriseJuniper Networks — Shares rallied 14% and 8%, respectively, after the U.S. Department of Justice, according to court filings, settled its lawsuit challenging server maker Hewlett Packard Enterprise' $14 billion acquisition of Juniper Networks.
  • Meta Platforms — Shares gained 2% after Bloomberg and The Information over the weekend reported, citing unnamed sources, that Meta has hired four artificial intelligence researchers from OpenAI to join its new Superintelligence group led by Alexandr Wang. Those hires are Jiahui Yu, Shuchao Bi, Shengjia Zhao and Hongyu Ren, the report said.

Read the full list here.

— Sarah Min

Chase customer spending growth is slowing, JPMorgan says

Spending growth by Chase customers is slowing down, according to JPMorgan analyst Richard Shane.

"Total spending growth decreased to ~2.0% as of June 20, below the May figure of ~2.3%. The June MTD growth rate has decelerated throughout the month as more data has become available," Shane said in a note to clients.

Spending growth rises to 2.7% when excluding gas stations, driven by lower oil prices, Shane said, but is still below the 3.1% growth rate in the same metric from May.

Among Gen X and baby boomer Chase customers, spending is down year over year in June.

— Jesse Pound

Moderna shares pop following positive late-stage trial results

Budrul Chukrut | Lightrocket | Getty Images

Shares of Moderna rose more than 5% in the premarket on Monday after the biotechnology company announced positive late-stage trial results for its experimental mRNA-based flu vaccine, opening the door for approval of the vaccine and the advancement of the company's separate combination flu and Covid shot.

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MRNA, 1-day

The stock has sizably lagged the broader market year to date, falling nearly 35% compared to the S&P 500's rise of about 5% in the same period.

— Sean Conlon, Annika Kim Constantino

Canada rescinds digital services tax

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, at right, speaks to U.S. President Donald Trump as they meet during the Group of Seven (G7) Summit at the Pomeroy Kananaskis Mountain Lodge in Kananaskis, Alberta, Canada, June 16, 2025.

Brendan Smialowski | Afp | Getty Images

Canada announced it will not implement a digital services tax as it tries to restart trade negotiations with the U.S. following Trump's comments that trade discussions with the country were terminated.

"Today's announcement will support a resumption of negotiations toward the July 21, 2025, timeline set out at this month's G7 Leaders' Summit in Kananaskis," Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said in the statement.

— Fred Imbert

Fed's Bostic says inflation outlook won't be clear by July

Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic.

David A. Grogan | CNBC

The U.S. Federal Reserve is unlikely to have enough clarity on the trajectory of the U.S. economy to justify an interest rate cut in July, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Monday.

"We're only going to have one more measure of inflation. We're going to have a lot that's unknown about how other policies are impacting the labor market. And without that kind of clarity, I don't think it's going to be my view that it'll be appropriate to move in any direction at this point," Bostic said.

Tackling the issue of when the data might be sufficient to support a move, Bostic said the Fed would be closely monitoring how businesses and consumers respond to tariffs and other economic factors.

"I'm hearing more [businesses] say that they may not expect this whole thing to play out, to where they're at their final strategy, till even 2026, so this could be a much more extended period than I think many expect," he told CNBC.

— Jenni Reid

Asia-Pacific markets trade mixed as investors parse a slew of data releases

Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed Monday as investors parsed details on trade negotiations and a slew of data points, including South Korea and Japan's industrial output figures for May and China's purchasing managers' index readings for June.

China's manufacturing activity contracted for the third consecutive month in June, fueling hopes for more stimulus to cushion the impact of ongoing trade disruptions between the superpower and the U.S.

Mainland China's CSI 300 index added 0.37% to end the day at 3,936.08, while Hong Kong'Hang Seng Index fell 0.87% to 24,072.28.

Japan's Nikkei 225 climbed 0.84% to end the day at 40,487.39 after hitting an over 11-month high earlier in the session, while the broader Topix index advanced 0.43% to 2,852.84.

In South Korea, the Kospi index closed 0.52% higher at 3,071.70, while the small-cap Kosdaq was flat at 781.50.

Over in Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 increased by 0.33% to end the day at 8,542.30.

Meanwhile, India's benchmark Nifty 50 lost 0.53% while the BSE Sensex dropped 0.54% as at 1.45 p.m. Indian Standard Time.

— Amala Balakrishner

More S&P 500 companies issuing positive Q2 earnings guidance compared to average

More companies in the S&P 500 are issuing positive earnings guidance for the second quarter than average, according to FactSet.

Over 110 companies in the broad-market index have given quarterly EPS guidance for the second quarter. Out of this lot, 51 companies have issued positive EPS guidance for the quarterly period, which is above the 5-year average of 42 and above the 10-year average of 39, according to FactSet's senior earnings analyst John Butters. 59 companies have issued negative guidance, meanwhile.

Earnings growth could be slowing down, however. Butters' analysis shows that the estimated year-over-year earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 in the second quarter or 5% could mark the lowest earnings growth for the index since the fourth quarter of 2023.

— Pia Singh

Stock futures rise on Sunday evening